Believe hes expressed the desire to stay on 2B (probably because of his arm strength being gone.) If i was om shark tank and im Mark cuban right now im clapping! Long-term extensions do not preclude a player from getting those bonus pool dollars pre-arbitration. Frieds totals so far are $3.5M, $6.85M, and a potential $12.2M, which is $22.5M in arbitration through three passes at this point. . Braves fans will be the first ones screaming when all these long term signing dont work out and the team starts getting hamstrung. Swanson has not been nearly as good as Baez was prior to signing with the Tigers. How much do you think 2 seasons of an ace in his prime would cost, when you dont have to buy his decline years in order to get the heart of his career? Atlanta Braves pitcher Spencer Strider records a career-high in strikeouts. The only other way to get that channel is to splurge on the ridiculously overpriced cable providers with their ever-escalating fees. Even if you think Strider will break arb records annually, they wouldnt have been absurdly expensive. League figured him out quickly. Have a better case that shows why you would gamble paying $53M for three arb years to save $8M in free agency? Thats pretty much the point: Those arbitration payouts are only worth it at about a 95%+ projection of his future value, whereas they should be paying close to the 50% projection if even that much. Source: USA TODAY Sports Back to the previous page Player Strider, Spencer Team Atlanta Position RHP. Theres some degree of risk for the Braves in laying out such lengthy commitments, even if each looks quite team friendly in a vacuum. Research when he was drafted by the Yankees coming out of High School. The Braves said Tuesday they would push back Strider's next start in the hopes of avoiding a trip to the IL. Yeah Strider might get bonuses but it wouldnt be coming from the Braves, it would be coming from the league as a whole. The Padres have about $57MM on the 28 books between Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr., while the Rangers have about $51MM on the books between Corey Seager and Marcus Semien. What about Georgias racist voting rights? Dansby is gone. Injuries are 75% covered by insurance If thats true, the Braves would essentially be punting their $20M financial gain on his first FA year and option year. You do need to add a year of FA to that because 6 years takes them through his first year of FA. Lame. As a positional player I would be more likely to bet on myself but as a power pitcher I would take a deal with life changing money at my first opportunity. You are probably not accounting for the adjustments with the new CBA. Every FA in Swansons class is going to be more expensive than he will. Thats the point but take it personal. Its a shame he doesnt pitch for the Mets. I believe 2027 is the final year of that infamous TV deal that hasnt been the cash cow many other lesser franchises have benefitted from. So obviously the imaginary extra year of arb isnt getting us anywhere near. Mets fans are horrible (imo) bc all they do is whine BUT they show up and support their team (while still whining). $1MM for each of the 23 and 24 season is a bargain. Ugh. Atlanta has a chance to squeeze out of fistload of rings before the Nats come of age and steamroll the Senior Circuit. Grissom has about as much chance of playing a capable ML SS as a fan picked at random when they come through the gate. . Be the first one to comment on this story. Let's check, How Rich is Ralph, Efrain Valdez estimated Net Worth, Biography, Age, Height, Dating, Relationship Records, Salary, Income, Cars, Lifestyles & many more details have been updated below. Obviously, $76MM in 2028 will carry less weight than $76MM in 2022, but its still a hefty commitment to have so far down the line. Dylan Dodd, LHP 9. And him being top 2 in the ROY balloting has no bearing on his service time because the Braves never tried to manipulate it. The 23-year-old right-hander has pitched just two seasons above the collegiate level, but his incredible rookie season gave Atlanta confidence to make this commitment. I mean, were talking about MLB thats chosen to segregate their most loyal fans by continuing blacking-out games and fracturing the TV market with money-grab, inane exclusive streaming deals (i.e. With the holiday weekend underway, let's look for some sparkler establishing the players relationship through goodwill too for the future. Many thanks to him. He will finish next year with exactly TWO FULL YEARS OF SERVICE!! The Braves do it again, getting 2 FA years of a superb pitcher (incl an option year, fcol), and they get those years very close to a SPs peak ages. I watched my home team in my home market on it myself without paying a dime or being blacked out. The alternative is not extending anyone and going to find TOR (top of rotation) pitching on the free agent market where the failure rate is MUCH higher partially because the age is so much higher, along with the rate of pay. I see Grissom in the outfield with Harris/Acuna next year. Knowing you have certain players locked allows for more flexibility. Enjoy the Braves playoff run while you whimper about what could have been for your Mutts. His salary will jump to $20 million in '26 and then rise to $22 million for both of the next two seasons. His skills will deteriorate with age. Braves should stay as far away from Correas mercenary thoughts (and bad back) as possible. Spencer Strider and the Plant-Based Diet When Strider was 19, he was diagnosed with high blood pressure something rather uncommon for a young athlete. The difference is he was arb eligible a fourth time after 2020 rather than being a free agent outright. Injuries and regression could always push any of these extensions from bargain to burden particularly in the later stages of the deals, when the salaries are come with more heft. To see the rest of the Spencer Strider's contract breakdowns, & gain access to all of Spotrac's Premium tools, sign up today. SARASOTAWhat's happening? When you visit any web site, it may store or retrieve information on your browser, mostly in the form of cookies. Ill hang up and listen. Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. 2. Strider was 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA in 31 games this season. Does he hit enough to play left field? Generally not a fan of BTVs valuations, and your comment that the site is a general reference for trade values followed by They are off on a lot of things is a solid reason why I believe the site shouldnt be used as a factual source. If they would have waited to sign him for two years, it wouldve made less than a $10M difference in his contracts at most, but it would have given the team an extra $20M to spend before hitting the cap. Love to see this for a team and their fan base, Win win for both sides. Spencer Strider Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-0 , 195lb (183cm, 88kg) Team: Atlanta Braves (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 65 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. Salary, Earnings, Spencer Strider- Birth, Age, Ethnicity, Siblings, Education, Spencer Strider- Relationship, Girlfriend, Physical Gamerz- Wiki, Net Worth, Girlfriend, Career. If thats the case, how do you justify to Max Fried that hes only making $22.5M through his first 5 years in the league? Baezs peak, two 6 rWAR seasons in 2018-19, are something Swanson only came close to in 2022 (though, pro rated, his 2020 would have gotten close). But thanks to you I now have another person on my mute list. Cant see that happening. It seems about in the right range. They lost in the playoffs, winning 101 games isnt a collapse. But how good is this example? I mean this in total sincerity, if you love this deal, you should never manage a real team, let alone budget your own finances personally. . He might not be worth what hes asking. The Braves are getting 2 years of FA for $44 million total. My point was that Soto would be worth at best $140M in excess value, he tried justifying the $200M by saying it was the premium for trading for a star. Feb 22, 2023 at 3:11 pm ET 1 min read. They do not store directly personal information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet device. Hopefully he also didnt mean Scherzer, one terrible wildcard game from an elite pitcher like him still doesnt make him crap. He has not stated how much he was paid by the teams while getting picked by the MLB. Yes, they get one or two free agent years in exchange, but thats not enough to make up for those heavily expensive arb years in the deal. The expectation is that I outperform any contract I ever sign.". The Dodgers play on the west coast and you want them to play earlier then the Braves? That is just temporary. Super Two only applies when they have at least approximately 2/3 of a year of service time but less than a full season to where the team gets almost seven years of control (like the infamous Kris Bryant example) instead of slightly over six as in Striders case. Even if he does remain this good in a best case scenario, he would only approach the amount hes being guaranteed over those 2 pre-arb years and 3 arb years, and the team should get a significant discount on those arb years in such an early career extension, anyway. Strider is expected to start in Game 1 of the series. The 2029 option comes with a $5MM buyout, which is factored into the guaranteed portion of the contract. Strider returned from his injury in 2020 and was later picked in the fourth round of the MLB 2020 draft by the Atlanta Braves, with whom he eventually signed a contract. The Braves have to account for that in their offer. MLB 4.05M subscribers Subscribe 3.1K Share 120K views 5 months ago Don't forget to subscribe!. Spencer Strider, ATL. A year ago, the Super 2 status was set a 2 years and 116 days, which is about normal, even low in recent years with most Super 2 status cutoffs falling in the 130s. But if we are anywhere near the same cutoff after next season that we were after 2021, Strider will miss Super 2 status by 110 days roughly or almost 4 months of being on the roster. This deal shows me the Braves have enormous confidence in Strider. Thats worth roughly $54m, if you can even buy a prime age #1 starter for 2 years. Braves will be WS contenders for the next 5 years at least with this core. So as to illustrate this, Jacob DeGroms arb years: $4M (2017), $7.5M (2018), $17M (2019) Since 2020 was a short season lets take the last 4 seasons. For everyone that doesnt get why this contract is bad. The Braves and Mets both won 101 games. Not the other way around. When multiple players including likely Judge, Turner, and Correa surpass 7 years with a $35 MM AAV will you come back and say you were wrong? Baez 14.5 WAR @Lanidrac Its very unlikely to hurt the Braves badly, since short of catastrophic injury (for which theyll probably have insurance) theyd be keeping him around anyway, shepherding him through TJ should that happen, paying arb awards, collecting insurance. Strider is now under contract with the Braves [] I didnt know what he meant. If the 2029 option is exercised, the deal will be worth $92 million. Just saying. You dont need to extend Grissom. They just gave him $53M for his 3 arb years. Disclamer: the number about Spencer Strider's Instagram salary income and Spencer Strider's Instagram net worth are just estimation based on publicly available information about Instagram's monetization programs, it is by no . The fact that you dont know how Super 2 works, totally invalidates your opinion. If the right billionaire acquired them and they signed say Judge, Trea and Arenado, this would be one truly awesome team and their payroll would still be less than several other teams. LOL best rookie season ever. Its a win-win. Matt Harvey was better at this stage of his career. I rather prefer people dont respect the Braves. Hes allergic to walks. Thats the salary of players in year 2 and 3. "EXTENDED @Braves have signed RHP Spencer Strider to a six year contract extension worth $75M. October 1, 2021 The problem is they still have the potential to either end up in the bleachers or the nose-bleed sections, or even if they get great seats behind homeplate, they are still losing nearly 30% on the gamble. If his contact rate and barrel rate drops a little, his strikeout total will skyrocket even higher and his homeruns will fall off a cliff. If he doesnt get a full year of service next season, it is because he sucked or he was suspended by the league for performance enhancing substances, lawsuits or criminal issues! That kind of evaluation has gotten the Tigers and Red Sox stuck w/those two. Neither Strider nor Harris II were ranked in the top 100 prospects by the media outlets that MLB is using to qualify rookies for increased service time and teams getting extra draft picks. Its not their young pitching, its pitching in general. Please login to leave a reply. PLAYER. @bhambrave If you dont know what Super Two means dont try to talk about which players are or arent one. Not sure what your point is, but throwing 100 mph doesnt mean crap for a number of reasons, one there are guys like Mauricio Cabrera:, Bruce Rondn, Henry Alberto Rodriguez:, Joel Zumaya:, Tayron Guerrero, Bobby Parnell, who have touched 103 mph and none have made anywhere near that money and all had problems turning velocity into results. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. Well, the rich smart teams. This is why Swanson will end up in LAD replacing Trea Turner, while theyll save 80-100M, reuniting Swansong with Freeman, and more importantly, Charlie. In 2023, Strider will earn a base salary of $1,000,000, while carrying a total salary of $1,000,000. Or theyre being proactive to keep future payroll in check and balanced out so they dont get caught with uncertain arbitration costs in the future. Swanson 11.2 WAR. 2023 Payroll Totals 2023 Active Competitive Balance Tax Totals Note: Tax figures based on payroll data only. Swanson isnt as good as either of those players. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. You are right about Striders value potentially increasing. The only way he wouldnt is with a long demotion next year. The New York Mets lead the division for most of the season. For someone who walked 13.5% of his opponents over the first two months of the season, the improvement was as remarkable as it was rapid; from June 10 onward, Strider walked just 6.8% of his opponents. Win win for both sides. Who doesnt believe that the Tigers have serious buyers remorse on Baez? We present them here for purely educational purposes. Quit pretending that every Braves fan supported your ridiculous troll scenario. While I think the Strider extension is a good gamble on an excellent young arm, youre right that any pitcher can turn into a pumpkin due to poor health or performance. Strider will make $4 million by 2025, with $1 million going to each of the next two seasons. Spencer Strider is on Twitter at SpencerSTRIDer. View a free real draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 12 teams in a STD format. Spencer Strider baseball stats with batting stats, pitching stats and fielding stats, along with uniform numbers, salaries, quotes, career stats and biographical data presented by Baseball Almanac. Strider agreed to a six-year, $75 million deal that includes a $22 million option with a $5 million buyout for 2029. The move is retroactive to Sept. 21 and Strider has not pitched since last Sunday. They played their home games at Truist Park (Park Factors: 114/116) where 3,129,931 fans witnessed their 2022 Braves finish the season with a .623 winning percentage. Youll find that its a similar sounding word to allude. His 182Ks this year feels more Stantonian than it should for a mid-range power hitter like Swanson. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Bigger pitchers hold up better, thicker pitchers hold up better. The only IF is whether hell stay healthy and productive enough to earn the money. Angels were very much in the running for Cole. Harris hasnt played a season and Olson will be an albatross if a deal in 2 years. Strider will qualify for Super Two. I expect the Braves are going to go to Dansby and say Dansby, you see what were trying to do here. The team has 15 players, none of which are Swanson, taking up $180M of their payroll in 2023. So he was arb eligible for the first time during the same offseason that he would have been eligible if the Cubs never manipulated his service time. As long as the rain holds off on the east coast, we have a nine-game slate in MLB DFS beginning at 4:05 p.m. EDT on DraftKings. MFF thing is, for Swanson the Braves arent going to go near what hell be offered elsewhere. Cant believe how many time the site posts the same comment. Only long term deal we signed was lindor who is young in his prime. The average Plug and Play Tech Center hourly pay ranges from approximately $22 per hour for an Intern - Hourly to $69 per hour for a Partner Success Manager. ~$22M (Arb3) Why to constant trashing of the Mets when both teams won 101 games. Troll on books. Still waiting to see the projection where two arb years are the same, factoring in the obligatory TJ surgery. All of this assumes he basically pitches like this year (not a full season, but elite performance) going forward. Baez/Story trending down, Swanson up. Past that, I think all these extensions are based on the character of the player as much as talent. Id assume the player has a good argument for the latter. Must be a great place to play if they can get all these young guys to sign for long term. Strider will qualify for Super Two, so he will get 4 years of arbitration and if next season is close to 2022 then its going to be between the current first year arb record for a starting pitcher of $9.5 million and Bellingers $11.5 million figure. It would also be easier to negotiate more free agent years into the deal while still getting a significant discount on them. J.R. Ritchie, RHP 3. Trevor Bauers arb years: $6.5M (2018), $13M (2019), $17.5M (2020) He was the top freshman at Clemson in 2018 before joining MLB, but he missed the season in 2019 due to an injury. I will let you do the math. But I wonder if a team can reach a point that they have too many of these deals and can could reduce their roster flexibility down the road. And 2.003 years is nowhere near enough to qualify as a Super Two. The Braves have always gotten the day slots. All six of those players are now under club control through at least the 2027 season, giving the Braves a level of continuity and cost certainty that is unparalleled throughout the league. He has only 1 All-Star appearance, 2 Gold Gloves, and 1 Silver Slugger. Strikeouts have the highest correlation with statistical fall off. eligible. older demographic) are even able to do that? Anyone who signs Judge will definitely regret that deal in a couple years! Hes most likely looking at something similar but a little less than what Bogaerts signed for. His third career outing was his most dominant at the Major League level as Strider's strikeouts came on fastballs clocked at 99.2, 100.3, 100.3, 99.8 and 99.8 mph. A contract representing mutual respect is a good thing. The Yankees have the fattest wallets, anywhere but NY wasnt really an option. Spencer frequently posts images of them hanging around and having the time of their lives. He will finish 2023 with 2 years and 3 days of service time not even close to the top 22% of players in his class. The 2022 Atlanta Braves played 162 games during the regular season, won 101 games, lost 61 games, and finished in first position. Swanson put up a 95 OPS+ and a 14.5 bWAR in his 7 seasons in the majors. Strider kept it humble when discussing the extension with 'Bally Sports': The Atlanta Braves will begin their NLDS series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. If the Braves pick up that net $17MM option for the 29 campaign, Strider will earn a total of $92MM over seven years. Kudos to him if he wants to do it; cant blame him for being happy to take nine figures to stay with his hometown team and to stay with this core of players but there should be a lot more on the market for him than that. Product executive enabling intelligent decisions through enriching and enhancing data and delivering it in awesome products. His love of the New York night life and illegal substances didnt help his career along either. Using multiple accounts on the same thread shows a much bigger disconnection from reality. If you want to be a continuing part of this Braves dynasty, youll need to give us a discount. Super Twos are players who barely missed the full year. Just cause they run this site doesnt mean they have some secret gift to know where players will sign and I never had a doubt he was headed there, since he was a Pirate. Shane Spencer didnt have elite closer K numbers as a starting pitcher. The work that Alex Anthopoulos is doing with the Braves is outstanding. There are way too many moving pieces to just guarantee blowing past the luxury tax. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. This allows them to trade for players like raisel iglesias who have extra years remaining on their contracts. In Braves speak, that means hes hitting FA. While I have been a fan of the other extensions, this extension scares me a bit. I wouldnt be surprised if he was pitching injured. Lets say he got 15% less than Soto, which if he continues to play like he did in 2022 is not likely, that would mean his one pre-arb year and his 4 arb years would look like this: Lets say $30 mil for year 3. Strider retired all three batters he faced Wednesday while throwing his first simulated game of spring training, Justin Toscano of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports. With pitchers, it seems every one goes down with season ending shoulder, elbow and back injuries. A visual look at how Spencer Strider ranks across the league, conference, division, and team. The extra year of service time for Top 2 in ROY voting means that combined with his full season on the Braves roster in 2022, Strider would be entering 2024 as Super Two eligible and the Braves would have a year less control. Speak for yourself. Shewmakes going to be lucky to carve out a career as a utility player for a 2nd Division team. The way they draft and are able to get their players so sign long term for under market value is second to none. Over the next 6 years youd probably end up paying him $40m anyway, making the cost of your gamble roughly $40m, since presumably youre paying the buy out in 2029. Nonetheless, as weve seen with young position players in recent years, the market for these types of extensions can still advance rapidly. He made his MLB debut in 2021 and now plays for the Mississippi Braves, Gwinnett Stripers, Augusta GreenJackets, and Rome Braves. Strong post NashvilleJ: thanks for mentioning the agent relationship angle. Hey, do you think the Braves bite the bullet and pay Swanson? I feel bad for all of the players not being drafted because the owners have shortened the draft. Look at post-season history over the last twenty or thirty years, and youll see the Braves usually getting the day games. Harvey was highly regarded as top prospect while Strider was considered middle reliever until may. The Yankees seem to be possibly the least fan-friendly franchise in baseball. Five years from now, a 28-year-old top-of-the-rotation pitcher in free agency will probably be getting $40MM+ per year. Hes expected to get 12 mill next season as an arb 3. Does he love ATL to the tune of forgoing, say, $50 million? Playoff team extra year. That wont continue. Sunday marked the first time Strider had thrown off a mound since his Sept. 18 start against Philadelphia. He hasnt even extended Fried yet, and this reeks of him knee-jerking his reaction to Fried probably not wanting to talk about extensions and him wishing he wouldve done something a couple years ago. His first full year starting he had a 4.02 ERA. Ive had it with my cable provider. Id hate to be him if he becomes human in Atlanta over the next 6 years. Dynasty. Apple TV games are free this year. If that happens this is even worse of a deal than it looks like at first blush. The Giants & Cubbies will follow and up the Goliaths to 5. And like I said before, he wouldnt even qualify for the ERA title. Team Date Transaction; November 14, 2022: Atlanta Braves activated RHP Spencer Strider. The reality is you should get a 20% discount on the overall value of what they project at today. even $50M. They were 6.5 games ahead of the Braves on August 7. For that to be a reasonable number requires him to stay healthy for the whole contract, which would lower his free agent value as it would almost assuredly mean he will have some form of arm injury. Swanson is not as good as those guys. Considering the current model, I wouldnt bank on $20M coming from the final arb year and that leaves $27.5M/year for the two free agent seasons. That means he will have 2.003 so he will qualify for Super Two. Now the baseball world is looking forward to what he could do while serving as a starter over an entire season. I think they have the money. I used Harvey as a buyer beware caution notice. Max was gassed in the NLCS last year. Ok I quickly read up on the bonus pool from the new CBA. On the surface it seems like the Braves have made several excellent long-term deals with young talent. He will receive an extra year of service time for that. The Gerrit Cole contract ($36M/year) is looking to become an albatross on the backend and we have to remember the cost to live in New York is crazy high, so even a parallel deal in most cities would be 10-20% cheaper. (101-61, 1st place in NL East). Really only has 6 seasons in the ML. Players dont sign extensions to be traded. Your proof of value starts with if. He has recorded 10 or more strikeouts in a game six times this season, including twice this month -- striking out 16 against the Colorado Rockies on Sept. 1, and 10 in his most recent start Sunday against the Phillies. Its all the projections every year. The volatility is too high. These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. It will leave many teams overpaying for pitching and when those arms get injured, most teams will selloff because they wont be able to go to the well and sign another $30M free agent to replace their ace who is gone for 18 months while recovering from surgery. Fried is also entering his 5th full season but his 3rd arb year and hes set to make $12.2M for an All-Star appearance, 2 GG, 1 SS, and a career FIP of 3.30. Its Swanson or bust for them. If the Braves can reposition themselves as Americas Team once again, all that peach juice will come flowing back. To think 6 years ago Braves fans on here were defending their FO not trading Jim Johnson at the trade deadline and acting like finishing with a better record than the Phillies and Reds that year was going to lead to a giant step forward. Good deal for both sides. Have to disagree that Baez and Story have more upside than Swanson at this point in their careers. 8. ET, many of these same folks were discussing an extension that could keep the rookie sensation in Atlanta until at least the 2028 season.