They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. Way Too Early MLB 2022 National League Standings Predictions. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. 1. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. For all the talk of Bichette and Guerrero Jr. being a dynamic infield presence, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers also are a dangerous pair of bats from the left side of the infield. With Shane Baz, Yonny Chirinos and Tyler Glasnow out from possible rotation spots in addition to relievers Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, that's a lot of slack that needs picking up. The Tigersare in a position where it feels like they are on the verge of putting it all together at the big-league level. Christian Yelich can only get better after . Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. CLE Cleveland Guardians. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . Nov. 4, 2022. All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. From back-to-back division champions to the cellar, the Twins'tumble in 2021 came as a shock after looking like a dominant team in each of the prior two years. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. This doesn't necessarily mean they'll win the World Series and a surprisingly disappointing season is always possible. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. O/U wins: 91.5. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the . ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. Toronto Blue Jays. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. LAD Los Angeles Dodgers. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. There are six divisions in the MLB, divided into three . 400. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. 15 seasons. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. 5 min read. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. . This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. Tampa Bay Rays I think Randal Grichuk will post huge power numbers there, too. There are question marks all over the place, as I explained in the preview. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. If it's the 2022-23 Premier League table you're after, you've come to the right place. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 The model really likes the rotation with Steven Matz joining Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, who could miss some time with a shoulder injury. I don't know why, though. Scorched. The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. Max Scherzer and Justin . November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. The only six teams with greater than a 5 percent chance of reaching the World Series are the four leaders in the AL East and the White Sox and Astros. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. If this is the year, Los Angeles could be in for a rise, especially with promising young talents Jo Adell, Reid Detmers and Brandon Marsh expected to be regulars in 2022. Despite believing that the Astros are more likely to win the pennant, it sees the Rays as a slightly more likely team to win the World Series. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Can the Los Angeles Angels avoid bad fortune? 11m ago. They could match that in 2022. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. TEX Texas Rangers. SEA . However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. C'mon Rocks! This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. March 30, 2022. The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. Standings. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. AL EAST. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. After missing the playoffs by one game last season, 2022 could end up as the perfect year for the Jays to represent the AL in the World Series. In a women's flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Three key contributors in the lineup Brandon Crawford, Brandon Belt, Mike Yastrzemski are 30 or older, and while they aren't getting younger, their bats certainly did not appear any slower in 2021. 5 starter. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. KC Kansas City Royals. And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. They still have Juan Soto, who continues to receive Ted Williams' comparisons, but the rest of the team is a bit unknown. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. Having also crammed these past few weeks, USA TODAY Sports presents its 2022 record predictions, an annual exercise in prognostication attempting to make sense of what went down this offseason and how it fits into team trajectory. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. Read more . Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. And the Cardinals were basically a .500 team last season, save for a 17-game winning streak in September. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. Put yourself out there. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. Even over 162 games, surprises abound. The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. ET. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, we'll provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors . The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . Comprehensive Major League Baseball news, scores, standings, fantasy games, rumors, and more The Red Soxsurprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. Printed from - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. There were three last season. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. Last year, Casey Mize, Matt Manning and Tarik Skubal got a taste of the big leagues and showed promise, and will be expected to take it a step farther in 2022. The pitching staff is worrisome. The offense added Starling Marte and Mark Canha to a lineup that was already strong with Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso in the infield and Brandon Nimmo in the outfield. FanGraphs Membership. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. Below, we look at those 2022 World Series odds; be sure to check back for our MLB picks and predictions as the season ramps up. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. New York received good news with the restrictions on unvaccinated players being lifted. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. Maybe. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. The bullpen is, well, the Phillies bullpen. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that. Weak offense. You can do it! The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Paired with the expanded 12-team playoff field and the opportunities afforded by the universal designated hitter, more clubs were active in March than expected, setting up some interesting postseason races for the new season. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. 2022 MLB preseason predictions: World Series, MVP and Cy Young bets we're counting on this year. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). After all, the Friars signed Xander Bogaerts, will be getting back Fernando Tatis Jr. from injury/suspension and will benefit from having Juan Soto and Josh Hader for a full season after acquiring both at the 2022 Trade Deadline. Payroll is the one thing keeping the Cleveland Guardians from putting up a great fight against Chicago. Los Angeles Dodgers: +600. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five writers to give it their best shot. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. 3. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. The Los Angeles Dodgers might have lost the NL West in 2021, but theres no doubt this is the best team in the division entering the 2022 season. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. . March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. TheBrewers Way? The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . Support FanGraphs. The Yankees, Red Sox and Rays are all strong playoff contenders, for me. We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). You famously cannot predict baseball. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. The rotation will get a boost from the return of Mike Clevinger and the trade acquisition of Manaea. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. After adding closer Craig Kimbrel, the gap between Los Angeles and its NL West foes is even wider. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. This is an admittedly risky venture. Despite employing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the Halos missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season in 2022. Add them together with JT Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Jean Segura, and this is a deep lineup capable of doing plenty of damage. The system also thinks theres still a gulf between the Dodgers and Padres, projecting Los Angeles for 96.1 wins and the Padres for 92.6. filling out their roster with solid role players. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. . Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. They've got that again in 2022. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. Unfortunately, the starting rotation and lineup arent remotely good enough to even challenge for 72 wins.