The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Want to Read. Please pass this post along. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. So far, so good. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. That's 150,000 generations. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. An unimaginably long time. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Probability is a pure odd. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. This includes personalizing content and advertising. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. On one try.. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Which ones bigger? You can start the series by clicking HERE. Those who are brave (foolish?) By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Now things start getting interesting. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. June 5. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. How fast does a laden fly fly? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. On one try. Were all winners in life without doing anything! (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Now things start getting interesting. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. dr ali binazir odds of being born. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it.